Malinga ndi Global forecasting and Quantitative Analysis firmOxford Economics, kukwera kwaposachedwa kwa msika wapadziko lonse wa China kumayendetsedwa ndi kupindula m'mayiko otukuka, chifukwa china chazomwe zakulirakulira kwaposachedwa kwa malonda padziko lonse lapansi.

Komabe, ngakhale kuyitanitsa kuyimba, kutumizira kwa China kumayiko otukuka kudakula mwachangu chaka chatha komanso theka loyamba la 2021.

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Chithunzi mwachilolezo cha Oxford Economics

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Wolemba lipoti Louis Kuijs, Mtsogoleri wa Asian Economics ku Oxford Economics, analemba kuti: “Ngakhale kuti izi zikusonyeza kuti kuwonjezereka kwaposachedwa kwa gawo la China pazamalonda padziko lonse lapansi kudzabwereranso, kusonyeza mwamphamvu kwa katundu wa China kumaiko otukuka kumatsimikizira kuti pakhalapo. kusagwirizana pang'ono mpaka pano."

Kuwunikaku kudawonetsa zopindulitsa m'maiko otukuka mwa zina zidabwera chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwaposachedwa kwa kufunikira kwa zinthu zomwe zimachokera kunja, zomwe zimachititsidwa ndi kusintha kwakanthawi kuchoka pakugwiritsa ntchito ntchito mpaka kugulitsa katundu komanso kukwera kwantchito yochokera kunyumba.

"Mulimonse momwe zingakhalire, momwe China idagwirira ntchito yotumiza kunja kuyambira mliri wa COVID-19 ikuwonetsa kuti maunyolo apadziko lonse lapansi omwe adachitika m'zaka zaposachedwa - komanso momwe China imathandizira kwambiri - ndi 'yomata' kuposa ambiri omwe akukayikira," adatero Kuijs. .

Lipotilo lidawonjezeranso kuti mphamvu zotumizira kunja zikuwonetsa zinthu zochepa zomwe zimadutsa, ndikugogomezera kuti "boma lothandizira lathandizanso."

"Poyesa 'kuteteza (dziko) udindo wapadziko lonse lapansi', boma la China lidachitapo kanthu kuyambira pakuchepetsa chindapusa mpaka kuthandizira mwachangu kutumiza katundu kumadoko, ndikuwonetsetsa kupezeka kwa zinthu panthawi yomwe makampani opanga zinthu padziko lonse lapansi ali. zakhala zikupsinjika, "adatero Kuijs.

Malinga ndi chidziwitso cha China kuchokera ku General Administration of Customs of China, malonda ndi mabwenzi ake atatu apamwamba - Association of Southeast Asia Nations, European Union, ndi United States - adasunga kukula kwakukulu mu theka loyamba la 2021, ndi kukula. mitengo ikuyimira 27.8%, 26.7% ndi 34.6%, motsatana.

Kuijs adati: "Pamene kuchira kwapadziko lonse kukukulirakulira komanso kuchuluka kwa zomwe zimafunidwa padziko lonse lapansi ndikulowa kunja, kusintha kwina kwaposachedwa pazamalonda kuthetsedwa.Ngakhale zili choncho, mphamvu yaku China yogulitsa kunja ikuwonetsa kuti pakadali pano, palibe zambiri zomwe maboma amayiko otukuka akufuna kuti achite, zomwe zimayembekezeredwa ndi owonera, zachitika. ”